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Bulletin of Analysis - Economics

SK O'Neal
23 May, 2016

This Armstrong article [1] is revealing, explaining in particular the paradox of QE (debasement of currency) and simultaneous ironic result of deflation - due to the overcompensating sociological reflex of hoarding, as Armstrong points out from historical data.  To some extent, this explains the push for people to go into debt [2] to counteract the hoarding tendency that the controlling global agencies, can we assume, fully expected, and have been trying to damp.  On more than one occasion in the last few days, Armstrong has mentioned the refuge of tangible assets at some point in  this process, notably gold.  The thing to remember is that Armstrong's models (in particular the ECM, Economic Confidence Model, that notably demonstrates that gold is not a hedge against inflation), which I increasingly respect within their range of validity, also indicate uncertainty and corresponding volatility in the period 2017-2023.  To some extent, this is blemished by the revolt headed by Donald Trump and notable in a symmetric effect on the left side of the aisle by Bernie Sanders in lieu of the programmed soapbox Hillary Clinton.  If either Trump or Clinton becomes elected, the socioeconomic train is at serious risk of derailing into severe instability, either by sabotage of Trump by the global agencies who do not yet have control of him, or by a possibly substantial degree of consummation of popular resistance to Hillary and the Agenda 21 paradigm.  Reasonable concerns add to this the prospect that such volatility could result in a devastating non-cyclic excursion, especially when viewed from the reference frame of our lifetimes.  As we see with the Muslim Injection in Europe, and the phenomenon of the Merckel allusion to what is the scheduled closeout of traditional America through Hillary Clinton, the resolve of nations and cultures to not be dissolved by a centralized global order is being tested.  It is not so much an economic dynamic as it is an asymptotic condition of a world not yet purged of free men.

The content of this brief analysis is a tremendous advancement from the commonly held approaches, as we have also mistakenly applied them in prior years.  Even Armstrong is not the Oracle, but barring the effects of a calamity, his analysis does at least address the first order sociological non-linearity of hoarding.  So many top notch analysts are stuck thinking that QE leads to inflation, believing in a conventional, linear cause and effect.  We must, however, look past the scope of Armstrong's lexicon as well, to higher order effects, when those effects become sufficiently violent in the context of absolute limits that are being approached in the relationship of mankind to the planet, and to himself.  The secret with metals (and other types of hard money, as they represent non-fiat storage of buying power) seems to be in the time frame, the period of volatility that must be waited through, and considerations relating to selling that medium to shore up physical resources for life, and possibly the issues related to the re-establishment of a new socioeconomic paradigm.  What that new paradigm is, becomes a most difficult analysis itself, and our priorities become the maintenance of some core of our civilization and life support, as we remember the terrible examples of the past.

[2]  Lindsey Williams discussed this push a while back, and the pulling of the rug the will follow - in large part through the severe compromise of retirement funds that we now see manifesting through as zero and negative interest rates.



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